Tropical Cyclone 13S Warning #05
Jan 28, 2013
ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON
ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY ---
WARNING POSITION: 281200Z --- NEAR 13.3S 58.4E MOVEMENT PAST SIX
HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND
DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT WIND RADII
VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST
QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 13.3S 58.4E --- FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT: 290000Z --- 13.6S 56.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050
KT, GUSTS 065 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034
KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM
SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR
POSIT: 250 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 291200Z --- 14.0S
55.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT WIND RADII VALID
OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST
QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST
QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 07 KTS
--- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 300000Z --- 14.6S 54.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS -
060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF
050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035
NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST
QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS
OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT
075 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST
QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR
TO 48 HR POSIT: 225 DEG/ 06 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS,
VALID AT: 301200Z --- 15.5S 53.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT,
GUSTS 080 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT
WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM
SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT
WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM
SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR
POSIT: 205 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 311200Z --- 18.0S
51.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT WIND RADII VALID
OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST
QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST
QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST
QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT
080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT
080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 185 DEG/ 07 KTS
--- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 011200Z --- 20.8S
51.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT WIND RADII VALID
OVER OPEN WATER ONLY VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 180 DEG/ 08 KTS ---
120 HRS, VALID AT: 021200Z --- 23.9S 51.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075
KT, GUSTS 090 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
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